Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Tactical Trading of Bonds Using Interest Rate Indices

Authors: Patrick Beaudan;

Tactical Trading of Bonds Using Interest Rate Indices

Abstract

In this paper we construct early-warning trading indicators for bonds and test their behavior over the past 50 years across a range of bond maturities and credit risk. The indicators are tested in periods ranging from 1962 through the summer of 2015 using bond mutual funds and ETFs, as well as on fixed-income sectors that include long-term Treasuries, senior-secured bank loans and corporate high-yield debt. We find that indicators built from publicly available interest-rate index data hold sufficient information to allow investors to identify periods in which bonds historically experienced their worst losses, including 1962 through 1981, 1994, early 1996, 1999 and mid-2013. We also show that these indicators can be used as hedges against rising interest rates without necessarily generating high trading turnover.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!