
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2643678
Spanish Abstract: A partir de la estimacion del “modelo de crecimiento economico con restriccion de balanza de pagos (CRBP)”, el articulo evalua el impacto de la apertura internacional y del comercio con Asia en el crecimiento del PIB colombiano. El modelo aporta evidencia a favor de las politicas de apertura internacional, pero al mismo tiempo se destaca el aumento de un grupo de vulnerabilidades en igual periodo. En cuanto a Asia, a pesar de representar un porcentaje bajo dentro del total del intercambio comercial, se ha incrementado significativamente la dependencia del crecimiento del PIB colombiano a la dinamica de relaciones con dicha region. En especial China, en una medicion que toma en consideracion el canal de las exportaciones, se estima que paso a ser en los anos dos mil el segundo socio comercial con mayor contribucion positiva al crecimiento de la economia colombiana, aunque queda todavia muy distante de la contribucion de EEUU.English Abstract: Based on the estimation of the balance-of-payments constrained growth (BPCG) model, this article evaluates the impact of international openness and the trade with Asia on Colombia’s GDP growth. The model provides evidence in favor of the policies of trade liberalization in the 1990s, as well as highlighting the raise of a set of vulnerabilities. With regard to Asia, the dependence of Colombia’s GDP has increased but still continues to be below the contribution of the exports to the USA.
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