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The Cyclicality of Labor Market Flows: A Multiple-Shock Approach

Authors: Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Zhutova, Anastasia;

The Cyclicality of Labor Market Flows: A Multiple-Shock Approach

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, we aim to establish some stylized facts about the relative contributions of the job-finding and separation rates to unemployment dynamics depending on the nature of structural shocks. The shocks in our Bayesian Structural VAR model are identified using a sign-restriction approach, and capture shifts in the three conditions determining labor-market equilibrium in matching models: the Beveridge curve, and the job-creation and job-destruction conditions. Using both US and French data, we identify an aggregate shock to match profitability (the aggregate-profitability shock ), a shock specific to existing jobs ( the reallocation shock ) and a shock to the efficiency of the matching process ( the matching-efficiency shock ). We find that the relative contributions of the job finding and separation rates are notably different across shocks in both countries, but are similar across countries for each type of shock. Labor market dynamics appear to be Transatlantic despite well-known institutional differences. However, it must be emphasized that the reaction of the labor market variables to the matching-efficiency shock seems more muted in the US than in France.

Country
France
Keywords

330, job finding, and Immigrant Workers, unemployment variability, Unemployment variability, unemployment variability, job separation, job finding, Bayesian Var, Job separation, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Vacancies, Saving, ddc:330, Production, Labor Markets, Bayesian VAR, Bayesian Var, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, JEL: J - Labor and Demographic Economics/J.J6 - Mobility, J6, job separation, Unemployment, and Informal Economy/E.E2.E24 - Employment • Unemployment • Wages • Intergenerational Income Distribution • Aggregate Human Capital • Aggregate Labor Productivity, Job finding, E24, Investment, JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E2 - Consumption, jel: jel:E24, jel: jel:J6

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Average
bronze
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