
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2497536
Many have argued that the Great Recession of 2008 marked the end of the Great Moderation of the eighties and nineties. Through painstaking empirical analysis of the data, this paper shows this is not the case. Output volatility remains subdued despite the turmoil created by the Great Recession. This finding has important implications for policymaking since lower output volatility (the hallmark of the Great Moderation) is associated with weaker recoveries.
business cycle; Markov Switching models; recoveries; volatility, business cycle, volatility, recoveries, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:C22
business cycle; Markov Switching models; recoveries; volatility, business cycle, volatility, recoveries, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:C22
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 12 | |
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