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Contract Rollover, Volume Ratio, and Trading Activity in Financial Futures Markets

Authors: Ming Guo;

Contract Rollover, Volume Ratio, and Trading Activity in Financial Futures Markets

Abstract

Financial futures trading volume data shows strong seasonality due to mechanic rollover activity, which contaminates the role of volume as a measure of information flow. This paper develops a method to construct the rollover trading volume based on the ratio of the trading volume of the nearest contract to the trading volume of the second nearest contract, which reflects the relative liquidity of these contracts. The constructed de-rollovered trading volume displays little seasonality due to contract rollover. The rollover trading volume explains a large proportion of the variation in trading volume controlling for the explanatory variables documented in the literature using data from nine major markets of stock, bond, and currency futures.

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citations
The total number of citations received by all articles of the researcher of interest.
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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