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The Effect of Type-1 Error on Deterrence

Authors: Lando, Henrik; Mungan, Murat C.;

The Effect of Type-1 Error on Deterrence

Abstract

A traditional view of law and economics holds that an increase in the probability with which a court will convict an innocent defendant (type-1 error) lowers deterrence as much as an increase in the probability with which the court will acquit a guilty defendant (type-2 error). We demonstrate that this view is generally incorrect both when the court's error concerns the assessment of the act committed (mistake of act) and when it concerns the identity of the offender (mistake of identity). For mistake of act, the view ignores that adjudication involving a potential offender is generally less likely when he acts lawfully; there can e.g. then be no adjudication and hence no type-1 error when the sanction is harm-based and when the lawful act precludes harm. For mistake of identity, the potential offender may be falsely convicted of a crime committed by someone else whether or not he himself acts lawfully, and hence such type-1 error does not exert any direct effect on deterrence. Moreover, any indirect effect on deterrence is likely to be small because when the potential offender abides by the law, his risk of being subject to adjudication is generally shared with many other innocent people.

Countries
United States, Denmark
Related Organizations
Keywords

Legal Profession, 330, Judicial Errors, Criminal Procedure, Crime and deterrence, Wrongful Convictions, Legal Ethics and Professional Responsibility, Torts, Crime and Deterrence, Criminal Law, Wrongful convictions, Type-I errors, Law, Judicial errors, Accuracy

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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