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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Journal of Banking & Finance
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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The Determinants of CDS Spreads

Authors: Koresh Galil; Offer Moshe Shapir; Dan Amiram; Uri Ben-Zion;

The Determinants of CDS Spreads

Abstract

This study proposes models that can be used as shorthand analysis tools for CDS spreads and CDS spread changes. For this purpose, we examine the determinants of CDS spreads and spread changes on a broad database of 718 US firms during the period from early 2002 to early 2013. Contrary to previous studies, we discover that market variables have explanatory power after controlling for firm-specific variables inspired by structural models. Three explanatory variables appear to outperform the other variables examined in this paper: stock Return, ∆Volatility (the change in stock return volatility), and ∆MRI (change in the median CDS spread in the rating class). We also discover that models used in the event study literature to explain spread changes can be improved by using additional variables. Furthermore, we show that ratings explain cross-sectional variation in CDS spreads even after controlling for structural model variables.

Keywords

Credit Default Swap; CDS; Credit spread; Corporate bond; Structural model, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G13

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
164
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
bronze