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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Panel Data Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Impulses in the EU New Member States

Authors: Borys, Paweł; Ciżkowicz, Piotr; Rzońca, Andrzej;

Panel Data Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Impulses in the EU New Member States

Abstract

We identify fiscal impulses in the EU New Member States using four different methods and apply econometric panel data techniques to determine what is the response of output and its components to those impulses. We also directly test the effects of fiscal impulses on labor costs and households’ expectations. The results confirm that the composition of impulses matters for output and its components response. Notably we find evidence that investment and export growth accelerates after fiscal adjustment and decelerates after fiscal stimulus when the impulses are expenditure based. In turn, private consumption seems not to respond to fiscal impulses regardless of their size. The analysis confirms that expenditure based fiscal adjustments enhance wage moderation and thereby competitiveness of domestic enterprises, while expenditure-based fiscal stimuli weaken it. By contrast, we do not find evidence that fiscal impulses have an effect on households’ confidence.

Keywords

expansionary fiscal adjustment, contractionary fiscal stimulus, New Member States, panel data, fiscal consolidation, non-Keynesian effects, New Member States, panel data, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:C23, jel: jel:D22, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:H30, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:E23, jel: jel:E24

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
bronze