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External Flows and Development in Bolivia

Authors: Paola Andrea Barrientos Quiroga; Kenneth Dencker Petersen;

External Flows and Development in Bolivia

Abstract

External resources for a low income country have the potential of accelerating growth but also of creating Dutch Disease effects. This paper analyses the empirical impact of the most important external resources, foreign direct investment, aid, and loans, on the Bolivian economy for the period 1950-2009. We use a multivariate CVAR(2) model, which directly deals with endogeneity issues and allows for a more profound insight into the chain of causality, through the impulse responses. Our results indicate that loans are positive for the Bolivian economy in the long run, through an increase in exports and a decrease in purchasing power of exports however, we did not include total debt. We find that the effect of aid is negative for the Bolivian GDP per capita in the long run, which is explained by the temporary increase in purchasing power of exports, which lead to a permanent loss in the exports. Finally, foreign direct investments lead to a positive response of Bolivian GDP per capita and exports, and a reduction of purchasing power of exports in the long run.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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