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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
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Local-Explosive Approximations to Null Distributions of the Johansen Cointegration Test, with an Application to Cyclical Concordance in the Euro Area

Authors: Chevillon, Guillaume;

Local-Explosive Approximations to Null Distributions of the Johansen Cointegration Test, with an Application to Cyclical Concordance in the Euro Area

Abstract

This paper considers approximating the nite sample null-distribution of a test statistic as its asymptotic distribution under a local alternative. We focus on the Likelihood Ratio test for the rank of cointegration and use nonlinearities that represent some nite sample distributional features. Reliable approximations are obtained using a class of locally explosive models. An empirical evaluation of the concordance of European business cycles through cointegration shows that some standard corrections lead to underestimating the number of cointegrating relations and induce volatile results.

Keywords

Cointegration; Finite samples; Local-asymptotics; Business Cycle Convergence, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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