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Financial Stress and Commercial Bank Loan Delinquency

Authors: Vichet Sum;

Financial Stress and Commercial Bank Loan Delinquency

Abstract

This study is set up to investigate how financial stress dynamically affects commercial bank loan delinquency (CBLD) rate. Using quarterly data from 1994Q1 to 2012Q4, the results show that CBLD rate immediately rises following financial stress shock; however, it significantly drops after 3 quarters following the shock. Financial stress Granger-causes the reaction in CBLD rate; the response feedback from CBLD rate to financial stress is absent. Financial stress forecasts only 0.08% of the CBLD rate at the two-quarter horizon, but it forecasts CBLD rate up to 8.67% at the four-quarter horizon, 10.74% at the six-quarter horizons and 20% at the eight-quarter horizon.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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