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Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Extreme Downside Liquidity Risk

Authors: Ruenzi, Stefan; Ungeheuer, Michael; Weigert, Florian;

Extreme Downside Liquidity Risk

Abstract

We investigate whether investors receive compensation for holding stocks with strong systematic liquidity risk in the form of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risk. Following the logic of Acharya and Pedersen (2005), we capture a stock's EDL risk by the lower tail dependence between (i) individual stock liquidity and market liquidity, (ii) individual stock return and market liquidity, and (iii) individual stock liquidity and the market return. We show that the cross-section of expected stock returns reflects a premium for EDL risk. From 1969 to 2011, the average future return on stocks with strong EDL risk exceeds that of stocks with weak EDL risk by more than 4% annually, adjusted for the exposures to market return as well as size, value, and momentum. This premium is different from linear liquidity risk and cannot be explained by other firm characteristics and risk factors. Our results show that investors care about extreme joint realizations in liquidity and that asset pricing models that rely on linear sensitivities alone might be misspecified.

Countries
Germany, Switzerland
Keywords

Liquidity Risk, Asset Pricing, Crash Aversion, Downside Risk, Liquidity Risk, Tail Risk, 330, Tail Risk, Crash Aversion, Downside Risk, Asset Pricing, business studies, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:G01, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G11, jel: jel:G17

  • BIP!
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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    10
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Average
Average
Top 10%
bronze