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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2000 . Peer-reviewed
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Real Wage Dynamics and the Phillips Curve

Authors: Karl Whelan;

Real Wage Dynamics and the Phillips Curve

Abstract

Since Friedman (1968), the traditional derivation of the accelerationist Phillips curve has related expected real wage inflation to the unemployment rate and then invoked markup pricing and adaptive expectations to generate the accelerationist price inflation equation. Blanchflower and Oswald (1994) have argued that microeconomic evidence of a low autoregression coefficient in real wage regressions invalidates this approach, a conclusion that has been disputed widely on the grounds that the true autoregression coefficient is close to one. This paper shows that the accelerationist relationship between the change in price inflation and the unemployment rate is consistent with any type of microeconomic real wage dynamics. However, these dynamics will determine how supply shocks affect inflation. Evidence on supply shocks and inflation points against the traditional real wage formulation. Implications for the recent behavior of the NAIRU are explored.

Country
Ireland
Keywords

Phillips curve, NAIRU, Inflation, Unemployment--Effect of inflation on, Phillips curve; Inflation; NAIRU; Phillips curve; Wages--Effect of inflation on; Unemployment--Effect of inflation on, Wages--Effect of inflation on, 339, Phillips curve ; Inflation (Finance) ; Wages, E24, E31, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:E24

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
gold