
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2233578
handle: 11250/2496816 , 10419/210022 , 10419/90767
We develop a model of credit rating agencies (CRAs) based on reputation concerns. Ratings affect investors' choice and, thereby, also issuers' access to funding and default risk. We show that - in equilibrium - the informational content of credit ratings is inferior to that of CRAs' private information. We find that CRAs have a pro-cyclical impact on default risk: in a liquidity boom CRAs help resolve investors' coordination problem, and lower the probability of default; in a liquidity crunch CRAs raise the probability of default. Furthermore, rating standards tend to be pro-cyclical, while biased CRA-incentives will ultimately be selfdefeating.
Credit rating agencies; global games; coordination failure, VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212, Gleichgewicht, G24, C72, Ratingagentur, JEL: D82, credit rating agencies, G33, JEL: G24, coordination failure, Kreditwürdigkeit, ddc:330, CRA, Asymmetrische Information, D82, Nichtkooperatives Spiel, global games, JEL: C72, JEL: G33, jel: jel:D82, jel: jel:G24, jel: jel:C72, jel: jel:G33
Credit rating agencies; global games; coordination failure, VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212, Gleichgewicht, G24, C72, Ratingagentur, JEL: D82, credit rating agencies, G33, JEL: G24, coordination failure, Kreditwürdigkeit, ddc:330, CRA, Asymmetrische Information, D82, Nichtkooperatives Spiel, global games, JEL: C72, JEL: G33, jel: jel:D82, jel: jel:G24, jel: jel:C72, jel: jel:G33
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