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Apollo
Article . 2020
License: CC BY NC ND
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Article . 2016
License: CC BY NC ND
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Journal of Financial Economics
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Volatility Risk Premia and Exchange Rate Predictability

Authors: Della Corte, P; Ramadorai, T; Sarno, L;

Volatility Risk Premia and Exchange Rate Predictability

Abstract

© 2016. We discover a new currency strategy with highly desirable return and diversification properties, which uses the predictive ability of currency volatility risk premia for currency returns. The volatility risk premium-the difference between expected realized volatility and model-free implied volatility-reflects the costs of insuring against currency volatility fluctuations. The strategy sells high insurance-cost currencies and buys low insurance-cost currencies. A distinctive feature of the strategy's returns is that they are mainly generated by movements in spot exchange rates instead of interest rate differentials. We explore explanations for the profitability of the strategy, which cannot be understood using traditional risk factors.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

1502 Banking, 330, Economics, MODELS, 38 Economics, Social Sciences, HEDGE FUNDS, FOREIGN-CURRENCY RISK, CONSISTENT COVARIANCE-MATRIX, MARKETS, HG, CONSUMPTION GROWTH RISK, Finance And Investment, 3801 Applied Economics, Business & Economics, Business, Efficient currency portfolios, Volatility risk premium, 3502 Banking, Finance and Investment, Exchange rates, ARBITRAGE, Exchange Rate; Hedgers; Order Flow; Predictability; Speculators; Volatility Risk Premium, Predictability, RETURNS, 35 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services, 3802 Econometrics, OPTION PRICES, CROSS-SECTION, Finance, jel: jel:F31, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G13, jel: jel:F37

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    popularity
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    influence
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    impulse
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
154
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze