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OPEC Energy Review
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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OPEC Energy Review
Article
License: CC BY
Data sources: UnpayWall
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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An Introduction to Oil Market Volatility Analysis

Authors: Walid Matar; Saud M. Al‐Fattah; Tarek Atallah; Axel Pierru;

An Introduction to Oil Market Volatility Analysis

Abstract

AbstractModelling and forecasting crude oil price volatility is crucial in many financial and investment applications. The main purpose of this paper is to review and assess the current state of oil market volatility knowledge. It highlights the properties and characteristics of the oil price volatility that models seek to capture, and discuss the different modelling approaches to oil price volatility. Asymmetric response to price change, persistence and mean reversion, structural breaks, and possible market spillover of volatility are discussed. To complement the discussion, West Texas Intermediate futures price data are used to illustrate these properties using non‐parametric and conditional modelling methods. The generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity‐type models usually applied in the oil price volatility literature are also explored. We additionally examine the exogenous factors that may influence volatility in the oil markets.

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    16
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
hybrid