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This article examines the impact of civil war on democratization, particularly focusing on whether civil war provides an opportunity for institutional reform. We investigate the impact of war termination in general, along with prolonged violence, rebel victory and international intervention on democratization. Using an unbalanced panel data set of 96 countries covering a 34-year period, our analysis suggests that civil war lowers democratization in the succeeding period. Our findings also suggest that United Nations intervention increases democratization, as do wars ending in stalemates. However, wars ending in rebel victories seem to reduce democratization. These findings appear robust to conditioning, different instrument sets, modelling techniques and the measurement of democracy.
Conflict, or Comparative, Democratization, O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, H56 - National Security and War, Democracy, Civil War; Democracy; Conflict; Democratization; Outcomes of War, International, Civil War, N40 - General, Outcomes of War, jel: jel:H56, jel: jel:N40, jel: jel:O11
Conflict, or Comparative, Democratization, O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, H56 - National Security and War, Democracy, Civil War; Democracy; Conflict; Democratization; Outcomes of War, International, Civil War, N40 - General, Outcomes of War, jel: jel:H56, jel: jel:N40, jel: jel:O11
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 13 | |
popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |