
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2127563
This paper proposes a way to solve two sided incomplete information games which generally generates a unique equilibrium. Players in the games form conjectures about what other players want to do, starting from first order uninformative conjectures and keep updating with games theoretic and Bayesian statistical decision theoretic reasoning until a convergence of conjectures is achieved. The resulting convergent conjectures and the equilibrium (which is named Bayesian equilibrium by iterative conjectures) they supported form the solution of the game. The paper gives two examples which show that the unique equilibrium generated by this approach is compellingly intuitive and insightful. The approach could be easily generalized to solve three or more sided incomplete information games.
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