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Analyzing Two-Sided Incomplete Information Simultaneous and Sequential Games with Bayesian Equilibrium by Iterative Conjectures Approach

Authors: Jimmy Teng;

Analyzing Two-Sided Incomplete Information Simultaneous and Sequential Games with Bayesian Equilibrium by Iterative Conjectures Approach

Abstract

This paper proposes a way to solve two sided incomplete information games which generally generates a unique equilibrium. Players in the games form conjectures about what other players want to do, starting from first order uninformative conjectures and keep updating with games theoretic and Bayesian statistical decision theoretic reasoning until a convergence of conjectures is achieved. The resulting convergent conjectures and the equilibrium (which is named Bayesian equilibrium by iterative conjectures) they supported form the solution of the game. The paper gives two examples which show that the unique equilibrium generated by this approach is compellingly intuitive and insightful. The approach could be easily generalized to solve three or more sided incomplete information games.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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