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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.5167/uzh...
Other literature type . 2012
Data sources: Datacite
EconStor
Research . 2012
Data sources: EconStor
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Inefficient Markets

Authors: Goeree, Jacob K; Zhang, Jingjing;

Inefficient Markets

Abstract

Traders' values and information typically consist of both private and common-value elements. In such environments, full allocative efficiency is impossible when the private rate of information substitution differs from the social rate (Jehiel and Moldovanu, 2001). We link this impossibility result to a failure of the efficient market hypothesis, which states that prices adequately reflect all available information (Fama, 1970, 1991). The intuition is that if prices were able to reveal all information then the common value would simply shift traders' private values by a known constant and full allocative efficiency would result. In a series of laboratory experiments we study price formation in markets with private and common values. Rational expectations, which form the basis for the efficient market hypothesis, predict that the introduction of common values has no adverse consequences for allocative and informational efficiency. In contrast, a private expectations model in which traders' optimal behavior depends on both their private and common-value information predicts that neither full allocative nor full informational efficiency is possible. We test these competing hypotheses and find that the introduction of common values lowers allocative efficiency by 28% on average, as predicted by the private expectations model, and that market prices differ significantly and substantially from their rational expectation levels. Finally, a comparison of observed and predicted payoffs suggests that observed behavior is close to the equilibrium predicted by the private expectations model.

Country
Switzerland
Keywords

Marktmechanismus, efficient market hypothesis, Test, ddc:330, Informationseffizienz, experiments, Effizienzmarkthypothese, 330 Economics, Efficient market hypothesis, Markteffizienz, ECON Department of Economics, Experiment, Asymmetrische Information, 10007 Department of Economics, Allokation, C92, informational and allocative efficiency, Efficient market hypothesis, informational and allocative efficiency, experiments, Allokationseffizienz, jel: jel:C92

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
Green