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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article
License: pd
Data sources: UnpayWall
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Journal of Financial Economics
Article
License: pd
Data sources: UnpayWall
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Journal of Financial Economics
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Legislating Stock Prices

Authors: Cohen, Lauren; Diether, Karl; Malloy, Christopher;

Legislating Stock Prices

Abstract

In this paper we demonstrate that legislation has a simple, yet previously undetected impact on firm stock prices. While it is understood that the government and firms have an important relationship, it remains difficult to determine which firms any given piece of legislation will affect, and how it will affect them. By observing the actions of legislators whose constituents are the affected firms, we can gather insights into the likely impact of government legislation on firms. Specifically, focusing attention on "interested" legislators' behavior captures important information seemingly ignored by the market. A long-short portfolio based on these legislators' views earns abnormal returns of over 90 basis points per month following the passage of legislation. Further, the more complex the legislation, the more difficulty the market has in assessing the impact of these bills. Consistent with the legislator incentive mechanism, the more concentrated the legislator's interest in the industry, the more informative are her votes for future returns.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

return predictability, 330, legislator incentives, voting, lobbying, government legislation, stocks, motivation and incentives, jel: jel:G14, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G02

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
64
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
hybrid
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