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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Economic Optimism, Information Uncertainty and Future Investment Decisions: Evidence from the Mutual Fund Industry

Authors: Patel, Saurin;

Economic Optimism, Information Uncertainty and Future Investment Decisions: Evidence from the Mutual Fund Industry

Abstract

This paper examines whether investors' optimism about the future economic growth affects their future investment decisions. Drawing from the insights of the theoretical literature on investment behavior, we argue that investors base their future investment decisions not only on asset-specific information and existing macroeconomic environment, but also on their beliefs about future economic growth. Consistent with this premise, we find that investors' investment decisions, measured by mutual fund flows, are positively influenced by their economic optimism, even after controlling for various fund characteristics and macroeconomic conditions. Moreover, this effect is more pronounced for funds with greater fund-specific information uncertainty, i.e. funds that are small, belong to smaller fund families, or have highly volatile past performance. Our results suggest that investors not only consider forward-looking economic optimism in their investment decisions, but also put greater weight on it when fund-specific information seems uninformative and less valuable.

Country
Canada
Related Organizations
Keywords

Investor Behavior, Fund Purchase Decisions, Information Uncertainty, Business, Investor Expectations

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
Green