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A Case Where Barro Expectations are Not Rational

Authors: Schlicht, Ekkehart;

A Case Where Barro Expectations are Not Rational

Abstract

This note generalizes Feldstein’s (1976) criticism of Barro’s(1974) analysis for the case that the interest rate exceeds the growth rate. This is done by considering an economy in steady state where all agents hold "Barro expectations": they believe that government debt must necessarily be repaid and therefore leave the present value of their income streams unchanged. In this scenario, a change in the mode of taxation affects the present value of disposable income in the private sector. This violates their Barro expectations.

Country
Germany
Keywords

Steuerpolitik, 330, Steuerwirkung, Social Sciences, Barro-Ricardo equivalence, H, E2, Ricardian equivalence, E12, debt, HB71-74, E6, Zins, Barro-Ricardo equivalence, Ricardian equivalence, fiscal policy, debt, taxation, rational expectations, ddc:330, Barro-Ricardo equivalence,Ricardian equivalence,fiscal policy,debt,taxation,rational expectations, Barro-Ricardo equivalence; Ricardian equivalence; fiscal policy; debt; taxation; rational expectations, Öffentliche Anleihe, 300, Ricardianische Äquivalenz, Ricardianisches Äquivalenztheorem, H6, Economics as a science, rational expectations, Rationale Erwartung, Erwartungstheorie, taxation, fiscal policy, Theorie, jel: jel:E2, jel: jel:E6, jel: jel:E12, jel: jel:H6

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
bronze