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Research in International Business and Finance
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
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Determinants of US Financial Fragility Conditions

Authors: MORANA, CLAUDIO; Bagliano, FC;

Determinants of US Financial Fragility Conditions

Abstract

The recent financial crisis has highlighted the fragility of the US (and other countries') financial system under several respects. In this paper, the properties of a summary index of financial fragility, obtained by combining information conveyed by the "Agency," "Ted" and "BAA-AAA" spreads, timely capturing changes in credit and liquidity risk, distress in the mortgage market, and corporate default risk, are investigated over the 1986-2010 period. The empirical results show that observed fluctuations in the financial fragility index can be attributed to identified (global and domestic) macroeconomic (20%) and financial disturbances (40% to 50%), over both short- and long-term horizons, as well as to oil-supply shocks in the long-term (25%). The investigation of specific episodes of financial distress, occurred in 1987, 1998 and 2000, and, more recently, over the 2007-2009 period, shows that sizable fluctuations in the index are largely determined by financial shocks, while macroeconomic disturbances have generally had a stabilizing effect.

Country
Italy
Keywords

inancial fragility, US, macro-finance interface, international business cycle, factor vector autoregressive models, financial crisis, Great Recession, Factor vector autoregressive models; Financial crisis; Financial fragility; Great Recession; International business cycle; Macro-finance interface; US;, financial fragility, US, macro-finance interface, international business cycle, factor vector autoregressive models, financial crisis, Great Recession, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:G12

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
23
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze