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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2012
Data sources: EconStor
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Fiscal Policy and Learning

Authors: Mitra, Kaushik; Evans, George W; Honkapohja, Seppo;

Fiscal Policy and Learning

Abstract

Using the standard real business cycle model with lump-sum taxes, we analyze the impact of fiscal policy when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations (RE). The output multipliers for government purchases are significantly higher under learning, and fall within empirical bounds reported in the literature (in sharp contrast to the implausibly low values under RE). Effectiveness of fiscal policy is demonstrated during times of economic stress like the recent Great Recession. Finally it is shown how learning can lead to dynamics empirically documented during episodes of "fiscal consolidations." JEL classification: E62, D84, E21, E43 Key words: Government Purchases, Expectations, Output Multiplier, Fiscal Consolidation, Taxation

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

Government Purchases, 330, ddc:330, Expectations; Government Spending; Permanent and temporary policy changes; Taxation, Expectations, HJ Public Finance, HJ, Output multiplier, Taxation, D84, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal Consolidation, Government purchases, Government Purchases, Expectations, Output Multiplier, Fiscal Consolidation, Taxation., E62, Output Multiplier, E21, E43, jel: jel:D84, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E21, jel: jel:E43

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
bronze