
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1988312
handle: 10419/212206
Quantity rationing of credit, when firms are denied loans, has greater potential to explain macroeconomic fluctuations than borrowing costs. This paper develops a DSGE model with both types of financial frictions. A deterioration in credit market confidence leads to a temporary change in the interest rate, but a persistent change in the fraction of firms receiving financing, which leads to a persistent fall in real activity. Empirical evidence confirms that credit market confidence, measured by the survey of loan officers, is a significant leading indicator for capacity utilization and output, while borrowing costs, measured by interest rate spreads, is not.
ddc:330, Quantity Rationing, Credit, VAR, E50, quantity rationing; credit; VAR, E44, E24, VAR, credit, E10, quantity rationing, jel: jel:E50, jel: jel:E10, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:E24
ddc:330, Quantity Rationing, Credit, VAR, E50, quantity rationing; credit; VAR, E44, E24, VAR, credit, E10, quantity rationing, jel: jel:E50, jel: jel:E10, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:E24
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