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Implied Returns and the Value Premium

Authors: Joseph Goebel;

Implied Returns and the Value Premium

Abstract

Superior returns of value firms are consistent with rational expectations under costly reversibility and the countercyclical price of risk through examination of expected rates of return (k) and market risk premiums (MRP) over time. With increases in the book-to-market (B/M) ratio, both the expected rate of return (k) and expected market risk premium (MRP) generally increase. This upward trend in k and MRP appear justified as ROE (book) steadily declines with increasing B/M. Consistent with the countercyclical price of risk, k and MRP during contractions are greater than those of non-contractions. Consistent with costly reversibility, growth firms with low B/M and FATA purchase more fixed assets during both contractions and non-contractions than value firms with high B/M and FATA. Inconsistent with costly reversibility, value firms purchase more fixed assets during contractions than non-contractions

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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