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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article
License: CC BY
Data sources: UnpayWall
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Financial Stress Index: Identification of Systemic Risk Conditions

Authors: Stephen J. Ong; Mikhail Oet; Timothy Bianco; Ryan Eiben; Dieter Gramlich;

Financial Stress Index: Identification of Systemic Risk Conditions

Abstract

This paper describes a financial stress index for the United States, the CFSI, which provides a continuous signal of financial stress and broad coverage of the areas that could indicate it. The index is based on daily public market data collected from four sectors of the financial markets – credit markets, foreign exchange markets, equity markets, and interbank markets. A dynamic weighting method is employed to capture changes in the relative importance of these four sectors as they occur. In addition, the design of the index allows the origin of the stress to be identified. We compare the CFSI to alternative indexes using a detailed benchmarking methodology and show how the index can be applied to systemic stress monitoring and early warning system design. To that end, we investigate alternative stress signaling thresholds and frequency regimes and establish optimal frequencies for filtering out market noise and idiosyncratic episodes. Finally, we quantify a powerful CFSI-based rating system that assigns a probability of systemic stress to ranges of CFSI outcomes.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid