
handle: 10419/60943
This paper presents four policy options to make Social Security sustainable under the coming demographic shift: 1) increase payroll taxes by 6 percentage points, 2) reduce the replacement rates of the benefit formula by one-third, 3) raise the normal retirement age from sixty-six to seventy-three, or 4) means-test the benefits and reduce them one-to-one with income. While all four policies achieve the same goal, their economic outcomes differ significantly. Options 2 and 3 encourage own savings, and capital stock is more than 10 percent higher than in the other two options. The payroll tax increase in option 1 discourages work effort, but means-testing the benefits as outlined in option 4 yields the worst labor disincentives, especially among the elderly.
ddc:330, retirement age, demographic shift, Social Security reform and sustainability, Social security ; Demography ; Retirement ; Payroll tax ; Labor market ; Employee fringe benefits, E2, J2, labor force participation, overlapping generations, H55, general equilibrium, E6
ddc:330, retirement age, demographic shift, Social Security reform and sustainability, Social security ; Demography ; Retirement ; Payroll tax ; Labor market ; Employee fringe benefits, E2, J2, labor force participation, overlapping generations, H55, general equilibrium, E6
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