
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.177469
handle: 10419/127984
Capital inflows have an enormous importance in the financing of investment in emerging and transition economies. However short-term inflows, intermediated by the banking sector of the emerging economy, may be subject to early withdrawals. We model a situation where such withdrawals are motivated by a change in either the domestic or the foreign fundamentals. We show that, for a given change in fundamentals, a reversal in the capital flows (and hence a currency crisis) is more likely the more risk averse are the foreign investors into the emerging economy. We also show that a policy to tax early withdrawals may discourage capital inflows which are more likely to give rise to fundamental runs, by helping to select relatively less risk averse investors. However, such a policy would have to be fine tuned in order not to discourage all capital inflows.
Short-term capital inflows, Currency crisis, Financial Fragility, Chilean tax., G28, O23, ddc:330, Short-term capital inflows, Currency crisis, O16, Financial Fragility, G21, Chilean tax, jel: jel:G21, jel: jel:G28, jel: jel:O23, jel: jel:O16
Short-term capital inflows, Currency crisis, Financial Fragility, Chilean tax., G28, O23, ddc:330, Short-term capital inflows, Currency crisis, O16, Financial Fragility, G21, Chilean tax, jel: jel:G21, jel: jel:G28, jel: jel:O23, jel: jel:O16
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