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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 1993 . Peer-reviewed
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El Ciclo Economico En El Peru

Authors: Marco Terrones; César Calderón;

El Ciclo Economico En El Peru

Abstract

Se hace aqui una caracterizacion del ciclo economico en el Peru, usando informacion de los ultimos cincuenta anos. Se ha estudiado el comportamiento ciclico de los principales precios y agregados macroeconomicos (reales y monetarios) de la economia peruana, encontrandose que su ciclo tiene similitud con el de economias mas desarrolladas: por ejemplo, el consumo privado, la inversion, las importaciones, las remuneraciones reales y la oferta monetaria son prociclicas, mientras el tipo de cambio nominal es contraciclico. Sin embargo, se observan tambien rasgos muy peculiares: los gastos corrientes del gobierno, las exportaciones y algunos agregados monetarios tienen un patron prociclico bastante debil y el nivel de precios un patron contraciclico debil. Tambien se encuentra que, a partir de 1978 y como resultado de la crisis derivada del problema de la deuda externa, la estructura del ciclo economico en el Peru experimenta un cambio, observandose una mayor volatilidad absoluta de la mayoria de precios y agregados macroeconomicos.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Ciclos economicos, Business cycles, Peru, jel: jel:E32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
hybrid