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Stress Testing the Resilience of Financial Networks

Stress testing the resilience of financial networks
Authors: HAMED AMINI; RAMA CONT; ANDREEA MINCA;

Stress Testing the Resilience of Financial Networks

Abstract

We propose a simulation-free framework for stress testing the resilience of a financial network to external shocks affecting balance sheets. Whereas previous studies of contagion effects in financial networks have relied on large scale simulations, our approach uses a simple analytical criterion for resilience to contagion, based on an asymptotic analysis of default cascades in heterogeneous networks. In particular, our methodology does not require to observe the whole network but focuses on the characteristics of the network which contribute to its resilience. Applying this framework to a sample network, we observe that the size of the default cascade generated by a macroeconomic shock across balance sheets may exhibit a sharp transition when the magnitude of the shock reaches a certain threshold: Beyond this threshold, contagion spreads to a large fraction of the financial system. An upper bound is given for the threshold in terms of the characteristics of the network.

Country
France
Keywords

default risk, [MATH.MATH-PR] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR], Systemic risk, random graphs, stress test, default risk, macro-prudential regulation, systemic risk, [QFIN.RM] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/Risk Management [q-fin.RM], stress test, Credit risk, random graphs, ystemic risk, macro-prudential regulation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
84
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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