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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Annual Review of Financial Economics
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows

Authors: Ralph S.J. Koijen; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh;

Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows

Abstract

We review the literature on return and cash-flow growth predictability from the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries.

Keywords

return predictability, present-value model, dividend growth predictability, jel: jel:G17, jel: jel:G14, jel: jel:G1, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G35, jel: jel:G10, jel: jel:G11

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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    172
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
172
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
bronze