
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1708662
handle: 10419/67776
Under expected utility theory, unconditional expected utility can be decomposed into a weighted sum of conditional expected utilities where the weights are marginal probabilities. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for a similar decomposition in the framework of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). The conditions also ensure that a decision maker’s conditional preferences (given some event) remain within the CPT class. Our results are important for empirical analyses in which weighted marginal probabilities of events are used to explain a decision maker’s choices. The use of such marginal probabilities is a practical necessity in non-experimental settings.
Prospect Theory, ddc:330, Cumulative Prospect Theory, Mathematische Ökonomie, Probability Weighting Functions, Conditioning, Updating, Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
Prospect Theory, ddc:330, Cumulative Prospect Theory, Mathematische Ökonomie, Probability Weighting Functions, Conditioning, Updating, Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
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