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Economic Modelling
Article
Data sources: UnpayWall
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2010 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Economic Modelling
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2010
Data sources: EconStor
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Real Convergence and its Illusions

Authors: Kolasa, Marcin;

Real Convergence and its Illusions

Abstract

Abstract This paper uses a multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model to illustrate real convergence processes in a small open catching-up economy. Our results indicate that even if the convergence is driven by smoothly evolving processes, the dynamic adjustments of key macrovariables can be far from smooth. We also demonstrate that overly optimistic expectations about current or future productivity shifts can generate sizable boom–bust cycles. A comparison across alternative monetary regimes reveals that a flexible exchange rate helps to smooth real convergence processes and misperceptions associated with tradable sector productivity, while it generates more volatility in scenarios based on nontradable sector productivity developments.

Keywords

Dynamisches Gleichgewicht, Konjunktur, Kleine offene Volkswirtschaft, ddc:330, Mehr-Länder-Modell, Boom-bust cycles, dynamic general equilibrium models, real convergence, real convergence, dynamic general equilibrium models, Boom-bust cycles, D58, Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz, F41, E32

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
bronze