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The Efficient Market, Random Walk, and the Ohlson (1995) Model

Authors: Samithamby Senthilnathan;

The Efficient Market, Random Walk, and the Ohlson (1995) Model

Abstract

Though the efficient market and random walk are closely related to each other, the gaining of risk free return (the result of risk free price change) indicated in efficient market needs to be compromised with random walk. Ohlson (1995) demonstrates the price change model, which illustrates that next period’s price change plus dividend is predictable with current price. According to Ohlson (1995), if the results of current price as an independent variable equals next period’s dividend, the next period’s price change is zero. This implies that a shareholder obtains risk free rate profit as indicated in efficient market and the next period’s price change (beyond dividend) is zero. In this context, Ohlson (1995) indicates that equity price change in efficient markets is independent as indicated in random walk, and the abnormal gain on the information associated with the historical equity prices seems not realistic.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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Average
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