
arXiv: 0905.0129
handle: 2381/20382
We study the dynamics of correlation and variance in systems under the load of environmental factors. A universal effect in ensembles of similar systems under the load of similar factors is described: in crisis, typically, even before obvious symptoms of crisis appear, correlation increases, and, at the same time, variance (and volatility) increases too. This effect is supported by many experiments and observations of groups of humans, mice, trees, grassy plants, and on financial time series. A general approach to the explanation of the effect through dynamics of individual adaptation of similar non-interactive individuals to a similar system of external factors is developed. Qualitatively, this approach follows Selye's idea about adaptation energy.
42 pages, 15 figures, misprints corrections, a proof is added, improved journal version
FOS: Economics and business, Physics - Physics and Society, Biological Physics (physics.bio-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Physics - Biological Physics, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), Quantitative Finance - General Finance, General Finance (q-fin.GN)
FOS: Economics and business, Physics - Physics and Society, Biological Physics (physics.bio-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Physics - Biological Physics, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), Quantitative Finance - General Finance, General Finance (q-fin.GN)
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 86 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
