
This paper shows that the EMU has not affected historical characteristics of member countries’ business cycles and their cross-correlations. Member countries which had similar levels of GDP percapita in the seventies have also experienced similar business cycles since then and no significant change associated with the EMU can be detected. For the other countries, volatility has been historically higher and this has not changed in the last ten years. We also find that the aggregate euro area per-capita GDP growth since 1999 has been lower than what could have been predicted on the basis of historical experience and US observed developments. The gap between US and euro area GDP per capita level has been 30% on average since 1970 and there is no sign of catching up or of further widening.
Konjunktur, Business Fluctuations; Cycles, euro area, Business Fluctuations, E33, C5, E32, Wirtschaftswachstum, ddc:330, euro area, European integration, European Monetary Union, international business cycle, euro area; European integration; European monetary union; international business cycles, Euro area; International Business Cycle; European monetary union; European integration, Nationaleinkommen, Economic Growth of Open Economies, F2, European monetary union, international business cycle, Cycles, European Integration, Economie, Euro area, F43, EU-Staaten, International Business Cycle, Eurozone, European integration, European Monetary Union, jel: jel:F43, jel: jel:C5, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:F2
Konjunktur, Business Fluctuations; Cycles, euro area, Business Fluctuations, E33, C5, E32, Wirtschaftswachstum, ddc:330, euro area, European integration, European Monetary Union, international business cycle, euro area; European integration; European monetary union; international business cycles, Euro area; International Business Cycle; European monetary union; European integration, Nationaleinkommen, Economic Growth of Open Economies, F2, European monetary union, international business cycle, Cycles, European Integration, Economie, Euro area, F43, EU-Staaten, International Business Cycle, Eurozone, European integration, European Monetary Union, jel: jel:F43, jel: jel:C5, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:F2
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 72 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
