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Journal of Economic Theory
Article . 2001 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Article . 2001
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 1998 . Peer-reviewed
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DBLP
Article . 2001
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Incomplete Markets and Volatility

Incomplete markets and volatility
Authors: Laurent E. Calvet;

Incomplete Markets and Volatility

Abstract

This paper shows that the precautionary motive, combined with asset incompleteness, is a major source of volatility and indeterminacy in financial markets. Price fluctuations originate from agents' efforts to insure themselves through time by borrowing and lending instead of shifting income across states of nature by trading risky assets. A high interest rate at a future date reduces the potential for future consumption smoothing via borrowing, which leads to a strong precautionary motive and a low interest rate in the current period. The negative feedback between future and current rates generates fluctuations. This logic is developed in SPEC, a CARA-normal exchange economy with many periods and endogenous interest rates. When there is an intermediate level of market incompleteness and sufficient investor impatience, fluctuations in the real interest rate can be large, even though the aggregate endowment is constant. SPEC has a unique equilibrium under a finite horizon; on the other hand, with a finite number of infinitely lived agents, there exists a robust continuum of equilibria that are neither bubbles nor sunspots. Journal of Economic Literature.

Keywords

[SHS.GESTION.FIN] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration/domain_shs.gestion.fin, incomplete markets, volatility, financial structure, Finance etc., indeterminacy, Auctions, bargaining, bidding and selling, and other market models, CARA-normal, endogenous fluctuations, General equilibrium theory, general equilibrium, precautionary motive, exchange economy

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
42
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
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