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Journal of Empirical Finance
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2008 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2003 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Learning about Beta: Time-Varying Factor Loadings, Expected Returns, and the Conditional CAPM

Authors: Adrian,Tobias; Franzoni, Francesco;

Learning about Beta: Time-Varying Factor Loadings, Expected Returns, and the Conditional CAPM

Abstract

Abstract We amend the conditional CAPM to allow for unobservable long-run changes in risk factor loadings. In this environment, investors rationally “learn” the long-run level of factor loadings from the observation of realized returns. As a consequence of this assumption, we model conditional betas using the Kalman filter. Because of its focus on low-frequency variation in betas, our approach circumvents recent criticisms of the conditional CAPM. When tested on portfolios sorted by size and book-to-market, our learning-augmented conditional CAPM passes the specification tests.

Country
Switzerland
Keywords

Capital Asset Pricing Model; CAPM; investments, Capital assets pricing model ; Investments, Asset Pricing, Bayesian Learning, CAPM Anomalies, Value Premium, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:C33, jel: jel:C11, jel: jel:G12

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    93
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
93
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
Green
bronze