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DSGE Models and Central Banks

Authors: Tovar, Camilo Ernesto;

DSGE Models and Central Banks

Abstract

AbstractOver the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges surrounding the use of these models at central banks. It recognises that they offer coherent frameworks for structuring policy discussions. Nonetheless, they are not ready to accomplish all that is being asked of them. First, they still need to incorporate relevant transmission mechanisms or sectors of the economy; second, issues remain on how to empirically validate them; and finally, challenges remain on how to effectively communicate their features and implications to policy makers and to the public. Overall, at their current stage DSGE models have important limitations. How much of a problem this is will depend on their specific use at central banks.

Keywords

Dynamisches Gleichgewicht, Geldpolitik, F47, central banks, Schätztheorie, Social Sciences, Modelling, modelling, DSGE models, E0, H, E50, Transmissionsmechanismus, DSGE models, central banks, monetary policy, communication and forecasting, E58, E52, HB71-74, C5, E32, Central Banks, estimation, ddc:330, E37, F37, Communication, DSGE models,Central Banks,Communication,Estimation,Modelling, DSGE models,central banks,communication m,estimation,modelling, CGE-Modelling, Economics as a science, Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, communication m, Estimation, F41, B4, Theorie, jel: jel:F41, jel: jel:F47, jel: jel:E0, jel: jel:C5, jel: jel:E50, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:E52, jel: jel:E58, jel: jel:E37, jel: jel:F37, jel: jel:B4

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    78
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
78
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
gold