
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1262973
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin probabilities. The event frequency is modelled with a non-homogeneous Poisson process with a sinusoidal intensity rate function. The choice of an adequate loss distribution is conducted via the in-sample goodness-of-fit procedures and forecasting, using classical and robust methodologies. This is an extended version of the article: Chernobai et al. (2006) Modelling catastrophe claims with left-truncated severity distributions, Computational Statistics 21(3-4): 537-555.
Natural catastrophe; Property insurance; Loss distribution; Truncated data; Ruin probability;, Natural Catastrophe, Property Insurance, Loss Distribution, Truncated Data, Ruin Probability, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C24, jel: jel:C16, jel: jel:G22, jel: jel:C15
Natural catastrophe; Property insurance; Loss distribution; Truncated data; Ruin probability;, Natural Catastrophe, Property Insurance, Loss Distribution, Truncated Data, Ruin Probability, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C24, jel: jel:C16, jel: jel:G22, jel: jel:C15
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