
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1160935
This paper proposes a new test for structural instability in heterogeneous panels. The test builds on the seminal work of Andrews (2003) originally developed for time series. It is robust to non-normal, heteroskedastic and serially correlated errors, and allows for the number of post break observations to be small. Importantly, the test considers the alternative of a break aecting only some - and not all - individuals of the panel. Under mild assumptions the test statistic is shown to be asymptotically normal, thanks to the additional cross sectional dimension of panel data. This greatly facilitates the calculation of critical values. Monte Carlo experiments show that the test has good size and power under a wide range of circumstances. The test is then applied to investigate the eect of the Euro on trade.
Structural Change, Instability, Cross Sectionally Dependent Errors, Heterogeneous Panels, Monte Carlo, Euro Effect on Trade, instabilité en fin d'échantillon, changement structurel, panel hétérogènes, C.C2.C23 - Panel Data Models • Spatio-temporal Models, C.C5.C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection, structural change, heterogeneous panels, structural change,end-of-sample instability tests,heterogeneous panels,Monte Carlo,Euro effect on trade,changement structurel,instabilité en fin d'échantillon,panel hétérogènes,effets de l'Euro sur le commerce européen, end-of-sample instability tests, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Monte Carlo, Euro effect on trade, effets de l'Euro sur le commerce européen, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:C23
Structural Change, Instability, Cross Sectionally Dependent Errors, Heterogeneous Panels, Monte Carlo, Euro Effect on Trade, instabilité en fin d'échantillon, changement structurel, panel hétérogènes, C.C2.C23 - Panel Data Models • Spatio-temporal Models, C.C5.C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection, structural change, heterogeneous panels, structural change,end-of-sample instability tests,heterogeneous panels,Monte Carlo,Euro effect on trade,changement structurel,instabilité en fin d'échantillon,panel hétérogènes,effets de l'Euro sur le commerce européen, end-of-sample instability tests, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Monte Carlo, Euro effect on trade, effets de l'Euro sur le commerce européen, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:C23
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