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Are Options on Index Futures Profitable for Risk Averse Investors? Empirical Evidence

Authors: Stylianos Perrakis; George M. Constantinides; George M. Constantinides; Michal Czerwonko; Jens Carsten Jackwerth;

Are Options on Index Futures Profitable for Risk Averse Investors? Empirical Evidence

Abstract

ABSTRACTAmerican options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2009) from 1983 to 2006 are identified as potentially profitable trades. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid prices do, while violations of the lower bounds by ask prices are infrequent. In out‐of‐sample tests of stochastic dominance, the writing of options that violate the upper bound increases the expected utility of any risk‐averse investor holding the market and cash, net of transaction costs and bid‐ask spreads. The results are economically significant and robust.

Keywords

futures options, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/330, ddc:330, G13, G14, market efficiency, option mispricing, stochastic dominance, transaction costs, derivatives pricing, G11, jel: jel:D53, jel: jel:G13, jel: jel:G11

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    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
76
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze