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Confidence Bands for ROC Curves

Authors: Macskassy, Sofus A.; Provost, Foster; Littman, Michael L.;

Confidence Bands for ROC Curves

Abstract

Abstract : We address the problem of comparing the performance of classifiers. In this paper we study techniques for generating and evaluating confidence bands on ROC curves. Historically this has been done using one-dimensional confidence intervals by freezing one variable-the false-positive rate, or threshold on the classification scoring function. We adapt two prior methods and introduce a new radial sweep method to generate confidence bands. We show, through empirical studies, that the bands are too tight and introduce a general optimization methodology for creating bands that better fit the data, as well as methods for evaluating confidence bands. We show empirically that the optimized confidence bands fit much better and that, using our new evaluation method, it is possible to gauge the relative fit of different confidence bands.

Country
United States
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
31
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Average