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Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Article . 2003 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Article
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SUKU BUNGA SEBAGAI SALAH SATU INDIKATOR EKSPEKTASI INFLASI

Authors: Sudiro Pambudi; Erwin Gunawan Hutapea; Bambang Pramono; Agnes I; Bambang Kusmiarso; Suhaedi Suhaedi; Didy Laksmono R;

SUKU BUNGA SEBAGAI SALAH SATU INDIKATOR EKSPEKTASI INFLASI

Abstract

Undang-Undang No. 23 tahun 1999 tentang Bank Indonesia menetapkan tujuan Bank Indonesia adalah mencapai dan memelihara kestabilan Rupiah. Kestabilan niali rupiah tersebut mencakup kestabilan terhadap barang dan jasa yang tercermin dari perkembangan laju inflasi dan kestabilan terhadap mata uang negara lain yang diukur dengan perkembangan nilai tukar Rupiah terhadap mata uang negara lain. Sudut pandang term structure theory mengatakan bahwa ekspektasi masyarakat terhadap inflasi di masa akan datang dapat dilihat dari perkembangan suku bunga nominal perbankan. Secara umum, suku bunga nominal mencerminkan suku bunga riil ditambah ekspektasi inflasi. Dengan demikian perkembangan suku buku bunga nominal dapat digunakan sebagai indikator ekspektasi inflasi masyarakat.Paper ini mencoba menggunakan metode kualitatif grafik yield curve suku bunga deposito dan metode kuantitatif makro sederhana untuk memperoleh informasi suku bunga yang memiliki kemampuan menjelaskan pergerakan ekspektasi inflasi. Hasil analisa menunjukkan spread suku bunga deposito 12 dengan 1 bulan, spread deposito 12 bulan dan SBI 1 bulan, serta spread suku bunga deposito 12 dengan 3 bulan memiliki kemampuan menjelaskan ekspektasi inflasi. Namun model masih belum dapat digunakan untuk melakukan proyeksi ekspektasi inflasi.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold