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Цель работы - разработка методики раÑчета Ñколого-ÑкономичеÑкого ущерба от аварийных разливов нефти в водной Ñреде Ñ Ð¿Ñ€Ð¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ программного моделированиÑ. Ð’ ходе ее напиÑÐ°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑтавилиÑÑŒ Ñледующие задачи: 1. анализ факторов разливов нефти и ÑтатиÑтичеÑкой информации; 2. анализ алгоритмов ÑущеÑтвующих методик по раÑчету ÑкономичеÑкого ущерба от разливов нефти Ñ Ð²Ñ‹Ñвлением их недоÑтатков; 3. Ñравнительный анализ отобранных параметров из методик; 4. раÑчет ÑкономичеÑкого ущерба от разлива нефтепродуктов Ñ Ñ‚Ð°Ð½ÐºÐµÑ€Ð° «Ðадежда»; 5. Ñравнительный анализ Ñред Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸Ñ€Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Â«PISCES II» и «OILMAP»; 6. разработка методики раÑчета Ñколого-ÑкономичеÑкого ущерба Ñ Ð¿Ñ€Ð¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ программного Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸Ñ€Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ рекомендаций Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð±ÑƒÐ´ÑƒÑ‰Ð¸Ñ… методик. Ð’ результате был проведен Ñравнительный анализ методик, выÑвлены их недоÑтатки и предложены рекомендации по внедрению новых параметров. РаÑÑчитан ÑкономичеÑкий ущерб от разлива нефтепродуктов Ñ Ñ‚Ð°Ð½ÐºÐµÑ€Ð° «Ðадежда». По его итогам Ñделан вывод о том, что данные, предоÑтавленные официальными органами отличаютÑÑ Ð¾Ñ‚ результатов, полученных в ходе данной работы. Проведен Ñравнительный анализ программных Ñред «PISCES II» и «OILMAP». Ð’Ñ‹Ñвлены их недоÑтатки. Разработана методика раÑчета Ñколого-ÑкономичеÑкого ущерба. Разработано ПО в Ñреде Google Colab, которое позволÑет на оÑнове данных параметров и характериÑтик вредных вещеÑтв Ñмоделировать аварийный разлив нефти в водной Ñреде.
The purpose of this work is to develop a methodology for calculating environmental and economic damage resulting from accidental oil spills in the aquatic environment using а software modeling. The research set the following tasks: 1. analysis of oil spill factors and statistical information; 2. analysis of algorithms of existing methods for calculating economic damage from oil spills with the identification of their shortcomings; 3. comparative analysis of the selected parameters from the methods; 4. calculation of economic damage from the Nadezhda oil tanker spill; 5. comparative analysis of modeling programs "PISCES II" and "OILMAP"; 6. development of a methodology for calculating environmental and economic damage using software modeling and recommendations for future methodologies. As a result, a comparative analysis of the methods was carried out, their shortcomings were identified and recommendations for the introduction of new parameters were proposed. The economic damage from the spill of petroleum products from the tanker "Nadezhda" is calculated. Based on its results, it was concluded that the data provided by the official authorities differ from the results obtained in the course of this work. A comparative analysis of the modeling programs "PISCES II" and "OILMAP" was carried out. Their disadvantages are revealed. A methodology for calculating ecological and economic damage has been developed. The software has been developed in the Google Colab, which allows, based on these parameters and characteristics of harmful substances, to simulate an emergency oil spill in the aquatic environment.
Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÑеда, пÑогÑаммное моделиÑование, water transport, оÑенка ÑÑеÑба, oil tanker, Ñазлив неÑÑи, water environment, ÐÑ Ñана окÑÑжаÑÑей ÑÑедÑ, ÐезопаÑноÑÑÑ Ð¶Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÑелÑноÑÑи Ñеловека, неÑÑÑной ÑанкеÑ, environmental and economic damage, oil spill, damage assessment, software simulation, Ñколого-ÑкономиÑеÑкий ÑÑеÑб, воднÑй ÑÑанÑпоÑÑ, ТÑÑбопÑоводÑ
Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÑеда, пÑогÑаммное моделиÑование, water transport, оÑенка ÑÑеÑба, oil tanker, Ñазлив неÑÑи, water environment, ÐÑ Ñана окÑÑжаÑÑей ÑÑедÑ, ÐезопаÑноÑÑÑ Ð¶Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÑелÑноÑÑи Ñеловека, неÑÑÑной ÑанкеÑ, environmental and economic damage, oil spill, damage assessment, software simulation, Ñколого-ÑкономиÑеÑкий ÑÑеÑб, воднÑй ÑÑанÑпоÑÑ, ТÑÑбопÑоводÑ
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