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Методы и модели прогнозирования товарооборота и грузооборота на примере рынка медикаментов

выпускная квалификационная работа магистра

Методы и модели прогнозирования товарооборота и грузооборота на примере рынка медикаментов

Abstract

Целью исследования является рассмотрение методов и моделей прогнозирования товарооборота и грузооборота и построению прогноза товарооборота и грузооборота на рынка медикаментов. Исследование выполнялось на базе статистических данных рынка Медикаментов Предмет исследования: являются методы и модели прогнозирования товарооборота и грузооборота рынка медикаментов. Методы исследования: метод моделирования, метод группировки, метод статистического наблюдения, метод сравнительного анализа и другие экономические методы. Основные результаты исследования: - проведен анализ рынка медикаментов - проведены расчеты, показывающие наглядно, каким образом количество тех или иных факторов влияет на товарооборот и грузооборот. - рассчитан прогноз с использованием метода сглаживания по квадратичной функции и с помощью регрессионного анализа. Область применения результатов ВКРприменение результатов работы в области рынка Медикаментов и возможности масштабирования решения. Научной новизной исследования является прежде всего, комплексный анализ прогноза продаж и грузооборота на примере фармацевтического рынка. Выводы. В результате были проанализированы проблемы использования методов и моделей прогнозирования грузооборота и товарооборота на примере рынка медикаментов. На основании проведенных исследований бал разработан прогноз грузооборота и товарооборота на рынке медикаментов.

The aim of the study is to consider methods and models for forecasting turnover and freight turnover and forecasting turnover and freight turnover in the pharmaceutical market. The study was carried out on the basis of statistics of the Medicines market Research subject: methods and models of forecasting the turnover and cargo turnover of the pharmaceutical market. Research methods: modeling method, grouping method, statistical observation method, comparative analysis method and other economic methods. The main results of the study: - analysis of the pharmaceutical market - calculations have been carried out that clearly show how the number of certain factors affects the turnover and cargo turnover. - the forecast was calculated using the method of smoothing by a quadratic function and using regression analysis. Application field: application of work results in the field of the Medicines market and the possibility of scaling the solution. The scientific novelty of the study is, first of all, a comprehensive analysis of the forecast of sales and freight turnover using the example of the pharmaceutical market. Conclusions: As a result, the problems of using methods and models for predicting cargo turnover and turnover were analyzed using the example of the pharmaceutical market. Based on the research carried out, a forecast of cargo turnover and turnover in the pharmaceutical market has been developed.

Keywords

товарооборот, рынок медикаментов, medicine market, прогнозирование, turnover, forecasting, Грузы

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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