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Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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VOLATILIDADE CAMBIAL E O DESEMPENHO EXPORTADOR DA CARNE BOVINA CONGELADA NO BRASIL: UMA ANÁLISE ECONOMÉTRICA (2001-2024)

Authors: Marcos Samuel Matias Ribeiro; Ricardo Medeiros; Fernando Rocha Palácios; David Costa Correia Silva;

VOLATILIDADE CAMBIAL E O DESEMPENHO EXPORTADOR DA CARNE BOVINA CONGELADA NO BRASIL: UMA ANÁLISE ECONOMÉTRICA (2001-2024)

Abstract

Este estudo investiga a influência da variação cambial do Real frente ao Dólar Americano nas exportações brasileiras de carne bovina congelada, um setor de impacto significativo no Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) do Brasil. Dada a sensibilidade do comércio exterior às flutuações cambiais, que podem alterar a competitividade dos produtos nacionais no mercado internacional, a pesquisa analisa econometricamente dados mensais de 2001 a 2024. Para tanto, foram aplicados testes de estacionariedade (Dickey-Fuller Aumentado), autocorrelação (FAC e FACP), Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO) e o teste de cointegração de Engle-Granger para verificar a existência de uma relação de equilíbrio de longo prazo. Os resultados obtidos indicam forte influência da taxa de câmbio no volume de carne bovina congelada exportado, com evidências robustas de estacionariedade e cointegração entre as séries. Conclui-se que a desvalorização da moeda nacional torna o produto mais atrativo para compradores internacionais, impulsionando o volume exportado. Essas descobertas oferecem insights valiosos para o planejamento estratégico de pecuaristas e frigoríficos.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold