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La fuga de capitales en la Argentina reciente (1976-2018)

Authors: Mariano Alejandro Barrera; Leandro Marcelo Bona;

La fuga de capitales en la Argentina reciente (1976-2018)

Abstract

En este trabajo, que surge de un proyecto de investigación que analiza el fenómeno de la restricción externa en la economía argentina, se compara la evolución de la fuga de capitales (junto a otras variables de relevancia para su análisis como la deuda externa y los intereses pagados), desde mediados de la década de 1970 del siglo pasado, centrándose en el período 2002-2017 (la posconvertibilidad). Para ello se utilizan diferentes métodos de estimación: el Residual del Balance de Pagos, el de Stocks y el Cambiario (Banco Central). Los resultados indican que entre 1976 y 2015 se extrajeron del sistema financiero nacional unos U$S 277.800 millones, aunque mientras en el período 1976-2001 las divisas provinieron del endeudamiento externo (privado y público), en la etapa 2002-2015 ese rol lo cumplió el superávit comercial. Las evidencias desde 2016 indicarían que nuevamente es el endeudamiento externo público garantiza la exteriorización de activos.

Country
Argentina
Keywords

VALORIZACIÓN FINANCIERA, Valorización financiera, Argentina, Fuga de capitales, Economía, financial valuation, kirchnerismo, Ciencias Económicas, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.2, Cambiemos partnership, valorización financiera, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5, argentina, Kirchnerism, HB71-74, capital flight, Valorização financeira, aliança Cambiemos, alianza cambiemos, ARGENTINA, fuga de capitais, fuga de capitales, Financial valuation, Economic history and conditions, Capital flight, Alianza Cambiemos, HC10-1085, ALIANZA CAMBIEMOS, Economics as a science, FUGA DE CAPITALES, KIRCHNERISMO, valorização financeira, alianza Cambiemos, Kirchnerismo, Aliança Cambiemos, Fuga de capitais

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold