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Quantifying Seismic Source Parameter Uncertainties

Authors: D. L. Kane; G. A. Prieto; F. L. Vernon; P. M. Shearer;

Quantifying Seismic Source Parameter Uncertainties

Abstract

We use data from a small aperture array in southern California to quantify variations in source parameter estimates at closely spaced stations (distances ranging from ∼7 to 350 m) to provide constraints on parameter uncertainties. Many studies do not consider uncertainties in these estimates even though they can be significant and haveimportantimplicationsforstudiesofearthquakesourcephysics.Here,weestimate seismic source parameters in the frequency domain using empirical Green's function (EGF) methods to remove effects of the travel paths between earthquakes and their recordingstations.Weexamineuncertainties inourestimatesbyquantifyingtheresult- ing distributions over all stations in the array. For coseismic stress drop estimates, we find that minimum uncertainties of ∼30% of the estimate can be expected. To test the robustness of our results, we explorevariations of the dataset using different groupings of stations, different source regions, and different EGF earthquakes. Although these differences affect our absolute estimates of stress drop, they do not greatly influence thespreadinourresultingestimates.Thesesensitivitytestsshowthatstationselectionis not the primary contribution to the uncertainties in our parameter estimates for single stations. We conclude that establishing reliable methods of estimating uncertainties in sourceparameterestimates(includingcornerfrequencies,sourcedurations,andcoseis- mic static stress drops) is essential, particularly when the results are used in the com- parisons among different studies over a range of earthquake magnitudes and locations.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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